26 September 2006

Hanging Tough

After Labor Day - the season that Bush likes to hit his stride on the campaign trail (2004) and roll out wars (2002) - the White House launched a massive War on Terror/9/11 anniversary promotion. The arguments were old hat (Dems won't protect you), and the methods tired (loads of speeches - no new policies), but he managed to win back some of his base. Things were looking like they might swing back around just like in the fall of '04. They may still yet, but Democrats appear to be doing their damndest to keep things in play.

Unlike the congressional leadership of 2002, todays dems are both wiley and not afraid to engage on national security issues. Good. To have a fighting chance, the left can't run on minimum wage and social security alone. But for a party out of power, this can be a challenge.



Senate Dems signal they're up to the challenge by staging their own Iraq hearings:

"Maj. Gen. John Batiste, the former commander of the Army's 1st Infantry Division in Iraq . . . spoke before the Senate Democratic Policy Committee, a rump group with little legislative clout but access to a proper Senate hearing room. "Donald Rumsfeld is not a competent wartime leader," said Batiste, wearing a pinstripe suit, calling himself a "lifelong Republican" and bearing a slight resemblance to Oliver North. "He surrounds himself with like-minded and compliant subordinates who do not grasp the importance of the principles of war, the complexities of Iraq or the human dimension of warfare. . . . Bottom line: His plan allowed the insurgency to take root and metastasize to where it is today."

The Democrats received a nice alley-oop this week in the form of a classified report from the National Intelligence Council that determines "the war in Iraq is making the threat of terrorism worse.America is less safe today than it was after Sept. 11, 2001, because the conflict is creating more extremists. "The war in Iraq has exasperated the global war on terror," said Robert Hutchings, the council's former chairman." The full NIE may be released soon.

When Republicans attacked the Democrats for holding political hearings rather than killing terrorists, Minority Leader Harry Reid referred to the NIE findings:

“When the United States intelligence community confirmed that America is losing the war on terror because of Bush failures in Iraq, this White House lost all credibility on matters of national security.”

That's a good retort to keep in mind when all the rove attacks come down the pike as we head into November.



Politically speaking, former presiden Bill Clinton provided the Dems with a textbook example of how to engage on national security when he let loose on the always mediocre Chris Wallace. To be fair, Wallace never stood a chance, and Clinton overreacted a tad. But Clinton knew what he was doing. Planned or not, Clinton showed genuine passion and made the case not only on the details of his efforts to nab Bin Laden, but for Democrats to engage on this issue in general. My favorite part of the exchange:

"What did I do? I worked hard to try to kill him. I authorized a finding for the CIA to kill him. We contracted with people to kill him. I got closer to kill him than anybody's gotten since. And if I were still president, we'd have more than 20,000 troops there, trying to kill him. Now, I've never criticized President Bush, and I don't think this is useful. But, you know, we do have a government that thinks Afghanistan is only one-seventh as important as Iraq. And you ask me about terror and al Qaeda with that sort of dismissive thing, when all you have to do is read Richard Clarke's book to look at what we did in a comprehensive systematic way to try to protect the country against terror."

Clinton demonstrated that you can be moderate and tough on the right. There is a sweet spot here where all Democrats can rally. It's hard to keep it together when in power. But for now, and hopefully in '08, Dems ought to be able to rip the right without eating their own. Regardless of authorization votes and exit strategies, we can all fight the right together. That's where Lieberman fell short. His brand of the hand-wringing and lecturing of his own party, well that made some sense in 1998. But now he's way out of step. It's more admirable to speak truth to the party that's actually in power.

Here's a fascinating profile of Rahm Emmanuel, who's about as moderate and tough as they come.

Last month I said George Allen's presidential hopes were over, and now he's hanging on to dear life in his senate race. In the past week, he's lashed out at suggestions that his mother is/was Jewish - which she is/was and he knew it - and he's been accused of repeated using the "n" word in his college days. Oh yeah, and he was accused of trying to put a dead deer's head into a black family's mailbox.

What's getting lost in all of this, unfortunately, is the superb job challenger Jim Webb was doing in framing the national security issue for Democrats. In a debate on Meet the Press last week, Webb ran circles around Allen with his tough, clear stance on the issue:

"It’s one of the things I was warning about early on when I said that this was a, a double strategic mouse trap. First of all, a mouse trap with—that was going to burn out our conventional forces, and second of all, a mouse trap in the sense that we have gotten so engaged in fighting the Sunni insurgency that we have allowed the Shia to get more power inside Iraq . . . if you look at what we did after Afghanistan, in the invasion of Afghanistan, we actually brought the countries around Afghanistan to the table—including Iran, by the way. Iran was cooperating at that time, before President Bush made his “axis of evil” speech and they stopped cooperating. The eventual way out of this—and it can be done soon, with the right leadership—is for us to get something similar to what we had with the, the Madrid conference in 1991 after Gulf War I, get these countries to the table, and have them work out a formula. Sooner or later, we’re going to leave. And when we leave, the countries that are tangential to Iraq are going to be players. We should overtly push that now."

Not only did Webb clearly point out the failures in our Iraq policy, but he illustrated a plan to end the occupation - which is more than can be said of the Administration which began this war. More on Webb in this week's Time magazine.

Webb also has a great new campaign ad that should be blueprint for all Democrats running on the Iraq issue.

Sens McCain, Warner, and Graham gave some great speeches, got some good press, and generally made a great case against the Bush approach to torture and the Geneva Conventions. But ultimately, they caved. The president cannot openly defy the Geneva Conventions, but he can go back to circumventing as he sees fit. The Boston Globe notes:

"Because the legislation does not specifically outlaw any of the techniques that have been reported to have been part of the CIA arsenal -- including hypothermia, food and sleep deprivation, forced stress positions, and the simulated drowning technique known as ``water-boarding" -- members of Congress will not truly know what they are approving when they vote next week.

The CIA program could wind up continuing precisely as it has in the past, despite assurances from the White House and Republicans in Congress that the Geneva Conventions will be respected, said Major Thomas Fleener, a defense lawyer in the military. ``It doesn't appear to actually limit what the CIA can do," Fleener, an Army reserve officer, said of the compromise proposal. ``It's Congress just giving the president the right to reestablish the old system."

From the same article: `You're not having any checks and balances here," said Norman J. Ornstein, a resident scholar at the conservative American Enterprise Institute. ``It sure doesn't look to me as if they stood up and did anything other than bare their teeth for some ceremonial barking, before giving the president a whole lot of leeway. I find it really troubling."

For all the trouble McCain may now be in with the Republican base, he probably should have gotten something out of it. For now, he remains a maverick in style only.

We'll close with some choice words from MSNBC's Keith Olbermann, who takes Clinton's fight with FOX as an opportunity to speak out on Bush's inaction before 9/11:

A TEXTBOOK DEFINITION OF COWARDICE

You did not act to prevent 9/11.

We do not know what you have done to prevent another 9/11.

You have failed us—then leveraged that failure, to justify a purposeless war in Iraq which will have, all too soon, claimed more American lives than did 9/11.

You have failed us anew in Afghanistan.

And you have now tried to hide your failures, by blaming your predecessor.

And now you exploit your failure, to rationalize brazen torture which doesn’t work anyway; which only condemns our soldiers to water-boarding; which only humiliates our country further in the world; and which no true American would ever condone, let alone advocate.

And there it is, Mr. Bush:

Are yours the actions of a true American?

8 Comments:

At 27 September, 2006 09:43, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Good stuff, as always.

I'll echo yours and Yancy's condemnation of McCain & co. for caving in. A lot of conservatives were saying that if McCain kept bucking the White House on this he could forget the White House himself. It's hard not to conclude that this political calculation was what made him blink.

Still, you're both more harsh on him than the facts allow. A "maverick in style only" would not have forced an unwilling White House to outlaw torture in the first place. You can acknowledge that he's done some good things without endorsing him.

But why do the GOP Mavs have to be our leading opponents of torture? Can't some Democrats show a little backbone on this one? Where the hell have they been in this debate? It seems they're prepared to "fight back" only on issues that make them look tough on terror, not say, in defense of civil liberties.

Stephen Colbert, 9/26:

"We all know about the big dust-up between President Bush and the Senate leadership over his wanting to change the Geneva Conventions, right? Well, on Thursday, they reached a compromise. That's not just a victory for Bush, it's a victory for the country, because basic human rights is something we all need to compromise on. ... You see, his opponents were a group of rebels within the Republican Party -- John McCain, Lindsey Graham and John Warner -- who stood up and said, 'No' to the president's plan. Meanwhile, the Democrats also stood up and said, 'We're just going to wait over here. You tell us when you're done' ... "

 
At 27 September, 2006 11:14, Blogger Christopher said...

Perhaps. But when the Republicans control all levers of government, we're basically seeing Republicans negotiating with themselves.

Which is why you need Dems to control at least one house for any real checks & balances.

I'm not sure what the Dems could have done. It's essentially Bush trying to get Congress to take a position on something he's been doing in secret anyway - I'm not sure there's a real debate to be had under the circumstances.

The dems may have wimped out - but I'm not sure what they could have done substantively.

If the dems had been a part of this compromise, we'd all be upset that they sold out to bush again. Maybe I misunderstand the #'s, but I'm not sure that they needed to get entangled in this trap that Rove laid. I think pretty much every dem running has come out against this white house's use of torture. I know Jim Webb's been pretty eloquent on the subject.

 
At 27 September, 2006 11:32, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Not that the Dems have been totally silent on torture, but there's no question that McCain, compromise or no, has been the most vocal champion on detainee rights, and the Dems have been happy to let him take the heat that would normally be coming their way on issues like this one.

Maybe that's a good election strategy. But on the substance of the issue, let's give credit where it's due. Sad to say, more is due to McCain than almost anyone else in the gov't.

 
At 28 September, 2006 10:28, Blogger Christopher said...

I don't think I'm going to give McCain credit for anything here. He was articulate in his arguments, but that's all they were. No teeth.

From Slate:

Is it still called a compromise when the president gets everything he wanted?

A major detainee bill hurtling down the HOV lane in Congress today would determine the extent to which the president can define and authorize torture. The urgency to pass this legislation has nothing to do with a new need to interrogate alleged enemy combatants. The urgency is about an election.

Not only do our elected officials have no idea what deal they've just struck, but they also have no idea what they were even bargaining about. In his Face the Nation interview, McCain revealed that he was in fact quite clueless as to what these "alternative interrogation measures"—the ones the president insists the CIA must use—actually include. "It's hard for me to get into these techniques," McCain said. "First of all, I'm not privy to them, but I only know what I've seen in public reporting."

Now it's the president's program that John McCain chooses not to know about.

Now we are affirmatively asking to be left in the dark. Instead of torture we were unaware of, we are sanctioning torture we'll never hear about. Instead of detainees we didn't care about, we are authorizing detentions we'll never know about. Instead of being misled by the president, we will be blind and powerless by our own choice. And that is a shame on us all."
-dahlia lithwick


From TPMmuckraker

Senate Kills Habeas Amendment on Torture Bill
By Justin Rood - September 28, 2006, 12:21 PM

The Senate just killed an amendment to ensure federal courts could review the legitimacy of individual' imprisonment on suspicion of involvement in terrorism. The amendment had been proposed by Sen. Arlen Specter (R-PA), chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee. "It is a fundamental protection woven into the fabric of our Nation," said Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-VT), who supported the measure. It was defeated 48-51, largely along party lines.

Former torture victim Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), portrayed as a "maverick" by earlier bucking the White House on the issue of detainee treatment, voted against the amendment. The White House also opposes the changes the amendment would make to the bill. Sens. John Warner (R-VA) and Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), who had also challenged the White House over the bill, joined McCain in voting against the amendment.

The Senate is expected to vote on -- and pass -- the entire bill later today."

These moderate Republicans are eloquent as hell, but ultimately, they aren't worth a damn. They end up providing cover for Bush on every front. Boo.

 
At 29 September, 2006 07:17, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Again, I concur with you guys on McCain's cowardice in this particular instance. But that's been the exception, not the rule. To suggest that the author of the McCain torture amendment is all talk and no action, or a front man for Bush, is just an extremely selective reading of the facts.

 
At 02 October, 2006 10:00, Anonymous Anonymous said...

McCain, Warner, and Graham defend their bill in today's WSJ, claiming that it does provide for American interrogators to be prosecuted for torture of detainees, that it allows no "legal redefinition of the Geneva Conventions," that it does allow judicial review of military commissions, and that it provides "any evidence shown to the jury must be shared with the defendant."

This is quite at odds with every account I've read, especially this one. I suppose at some point I'll have to actually read the damn thing.

 
At 06 October, 2006 08:10, Blogger Christopher said...

I don't think my McCain criticism has been selective. It pertains precisely to the compromise over torture. The very issue that put McCain in the headlines throughout September and which gave him a platform to be independent and eloquent. Which he was. Until the rubber actually hit the road. I'm not saying McCain is a phony. But his talk is better than his walk. He made some great speeches, but he folded. How am I selecting?

Obviously, he sees the compromise differently, but any analysis I've found says it's a compromise in name only.

 
At 06 October, 2006 12:21, Anonymous Anonymous said...

But as I've pointed out, he did have an earlier success at bucking the president on torture, and that was more than mere verbiage. Given that and his record of defying the GOP base on immigration, climate change, campaign finance, and filibusters, your statement that he's a "maverick in name only" seems unfair.

 

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